Москва

77458

Автор(ы): 

Автор(ов): 

1

Параметры публикации

Тип публикации: 

Пленарный доклад

Название: 

Разработка методов управления нелинейными процессами в сплошных средах.

Электронная публикация: 

Да

ISBN/ISSN: 

978-5-91450-270-3

DOI: 

10.25728/mlsd.2023.0138

Наименование конференции: 

  • 16-я Международная конференция «Управление развитием крупномасштабных систем» (MLSD’2023, Москва)

Наименование источника: 

  • Труды 16-й Международной конференции «Управление развитием крупномасштабных систем» (MLSD’2023, Москва)

Город: 

  • Москва

Издательство: 

  • ИПУ РАН

Год издания: 

2023

Страницы: 

138-143
Аннотация
Представлены результаты по управлению процессами в сплошных средах, полученные за последние годы в Лаборатории No6 ИПУ РАН. Эти результаты относятся ко многом физическим процессам: термодинамике, фильтрации, движению сред с молекулярной структурой. Единый подход основан на геометрической теории нелинейных дифференциальных уравнений, контактной и симплектической геометриях. Результаты нашли практическое применение в управлении процессами разработки нефтяных и газовых месторождений и управлении фазовыми переходами.

Библиографическая ссылка: 

Кушнер А.Г. Разработка методов управления нелинейными процессами в сплошных средах. / Труды 16-й Международной конференции «Управление развитием крупномасштабных систем» (MLSD’2023, Москва). М.: ИПУ РАН, 2023. С. 138-143.

77419

Автор(ы): 

Автор(ов): 

4

Параметры публикации

Тип публикации: 

Доклад

Название: 

Modeling Street Protests: Turnout Dynamics and Government Response

Электронная публикация: 

Да

DOI: 

10.1109/MLSD52249.2021.9600219

Наименование конференции: 

  • 2021 14th International Conference "Management of Large-Scale System Development" (MLSD)

Наименование источника: 

  • Proceedings of the 14th International Conference "Management of Large-Scale System Development" (MLSD)

Город: 

  • Москва

Издательство: 

  • IEEE

Год издания: 

2021

Страницы: 

https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/abstract/document/9600219
Аннотация
In this paper, we present a new agent-based and network-based model of protest campaigns in the presence of repression from the authorities. It includes both rational and socio-psychological factors in the behavior of the protesters. An analytical study of the simplified form of the model (without a network structure) leads to two main findings. First, a protest campaign unfolds successfully, reaching a significant number of participants, only if it overcomes a certain turnout threshold before the start of repression. Second, there exists a critical level of repression's severity, at which the protest campaign will not survive, regardless of the initial number of participants. This threshold occurs when individuals have a relatively high level of risk aversion. A computational experiment has shown that its existence and value do not depend on the network topologies, traditionally explored in the literature - namely Watts-Strogatz, Barabási-Albert, and regular graph. Yet an experiment has also demonstrated that this “repression barrier” can be overcome by more specialized network structures. One of them is the special version of the so-called STAR topology, when the most active and the only agent is linked with all other agents, allows the protest campaign to survive at any rate of repression.

Библиографическая ссылка: 

Петров А.П., Жеглов С.А., Кручинская Е.В., Ахременко А.С. Modeling Street Protests: Turnout Dynamics and Government Response / Proceedings of the 14th International Conference "Management of Large-Scale System Development" (MLSD). М.: IEEE, 2021. С. https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/abstract/document/9600219.

77416

Автор(ы): 

Автор(ов): 

1

Параметры публикации

Тип публикации: 

Доклад

Название: 

Is Inoculation Effective against Fake News? A Mathematical Model

Электронная публикация: 

Да

DOI: 

10.1109/MLSD52249.2021.9600188

Наименование конференции: 

  • 2021 14th International Conference "Management of Large-Scale System Development" (MLSD)

Наименование источника: 

  • Proceedings of the 14th International Conference "Management of Large-Scale System Development" (MLSD)

Город: 

  • Москва

Издательство: 

  • IEEE

Год издания: 

2021

Страницы: 

1-4 https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9600188
Аннотация
This paper introduces a dynamical model of the spread of fake news countered by both inoculation and debunking. The model assumes that a fake news message is published once, then spreads as a rumor by the spreaders, that is, by deceived individuals. Inoculation is conducted for part of the population in advance of the publication. Debunking begins after the publication and is carried out continuously by mass media and by skeptics, i.e., individuals who have internalized the debunking message. Building on the empirical literature, I account for the fact that fake news messages are normally more contagious via interpersonal communication than debunking messages. Numerical experiments with the model show that the effects of inoculation are limited. The proposed explanation for the limitations is that inoculation is not contagious while debunking by mass media provides less-than-linear growth of sceptics (given a constant intensity of debunking broadcasting). At the same time, the spread of a message through interpersonal communication yields nearly exponential growth of spreaders at early stages of the process. Therefore, if a fake news message is contagious enough, its spreaders quickly outnumber the sceptics. In such cases, inoculation and debunking cannot effectively counter fake news in the short run, although debunking enables sceptics to prevail in the long run.

Библиографическая ссылка: 

Петров А.П. Is Inoculation Effective against Fake News? A Mathematical Model / Proceedings of the 14th International Conference "Management of Large-Scale System Development" (MLSD). М.: IEEE, 2021. С. 1-4 https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9600188.

77415

Автор(ы): 

Автор(ов): 

1

Параметры публикации

Тип публикации: 

Доклад

Название: 

Countering Fake News with Contagious Inoculation and Debunking: A Mathematical Model

Электронная публикация: 

Да

DOI: 

10.1109/MLSD55143.2022.9933991

Наименование конференции: 

  • 2022 15th International Conference Management of large-scale system development (MLSD)

Наименование источника: 

  • Proceedings of the 15th International Conference Management of Large-Scale System Development (MLSD)

Город: 

  • Москва

Издательство: 

  • IEEE

Год издания: 

2022

Страницы: 

1-4 https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9933991
Аннотация
Our earlier study considered a mathematical model of the spread of a false message in the population when it is countered with inoculation and debunking. Inoculation was assumed to be non-contagious; that is, an inoculated individual was assumed to be unable to extend their resistance to fake news to other members of the population. It was shown that noncontagious inoculation and debunking, even taken together, are ineffectual against the spread of fake news. Now we present a model with inoculation performed with a contagious game. This means that psychological resistance against manipulation techniques is conferred on players of the game such that thereby inoculated individuals communicate their positive experience of gaming to other individuals, thus contributing to a wider inoculation of the population. The model considers the process in which a fake news message is published once and spreads as a rumor by the spreaders, that is, by deceived individuals. Debunking begins after the publication and is carried out continuously by the mass media and by skeptics, i.e., individuals who have internalized the debunking message. The mathematical model is studied numerically. Experiments show that the number of fake news spreaders remains relatively low only if the effectiveness of inoculation is very high.

Библиографическая ссылка: 

Петров А.П. Countering Fake News with Contagious Inoculation and Debunking: A Mathematical Model / Proceedings of the 15th International Conference Management of Large-Scale System Development (MLSD). М.: IEEE, 2022. С. 1-4 https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9933991.

Прончев Г. Б. (ФИЦ Химической физики им. Н.Н. Семенова РАН)

Last name: 

Прончев

First name: 

Геннадий

Patronymic: 

Борисович
Место работы

Organization: 

ФИЦ Химической физики им. Н.Н. Семенова РАН

City: 

  • Москва

Position: 

старший научный сотрудник

 

Pages