53322

Автор(ы): 

Автор(ов): 

1

Параметры публикации

Тип публикации: 

Статья в журнале/сборнике

Название: 

The Cross-Impact Analysis of Innovative Projects in a Portfolio

DOI: 

10.1134/S1064230719050149

Наименование источника: 

  • Journal of Computer and Systems Sciences International

Обозначение и номер тома: 

Vol. 58, No 5

Город: 

  • Moscow

Издательство: 

  • Pleiades Publishing, Ltd.

Год издания: 

2019

Страницы: 

736-746
Аннотация
Abstract—Interactions between pairs of projects inside the constructed portfolio are considered. These interrelations can be technological, resource, probabilistic, budgetary, etc. The binary probabilistic cross-impact of projects within the portfolio leads to a synergetic outcome: joint implementation of two or more projects can strengthen (or weaken) their resulting effect. The approach to the analysis of such interrelations, their cross-impact (the analysis of mutual influences) is presented in the form of a logistic model. In these conditions, the problem of finding the joint probabilities of the successful technical implementation of innovative projects inside a portfolio sensitive to perturbations of the initial data that are known with a certain error is formulated. The regularized Newton method corresponding to the specificity is used for its solution.

Библиографическая ссылка: 

Топка В.В. The Cross-Impact Analysis of Innovative Projects in a Portfolio / Journal of Computer and Systems Sciences International. Moscow: Pleiades Publishing, Ltd., 2019. Vol. 58, No 5. С. 736-746.

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