50425

Автор(ы): 

Автор(ов): 

1

Параметры публикации

Тип публикации: 

Тезисы доклада

Название: 

The influence of ruble exchange rate on Russian economics.

Наименование конференции: 

  • 25-я Международная конференция "Математика. Компьютер. Образование" (Дубна, 2018)

Наименование источника: 

  • Тезисы 25-ой Международной конференции "Математика. Компьютер. Образование" (Дубна, 2018)

Город: 

  • Москва

Издательство: 

  • R&C Dynamics

Год издания: 

2018

Страницы: 

http://www.mce.su/rus/archive/abstracts/mce25/doc312054/
Аннотация
In several steps we come to influence estimation of exchange rate on GDP and employment. We consider several facts about influence of exchange rate, M2 or M0, and oil price on deflators. Than we build a model of Russian Economics considering at least four different sectors with import and export. Some equations is easier to calculate in nominal (money) values, some in real units. So in fact we need booth equations in real and nominal variables and we definitely need deflator model to come from one presentation to other. We use a key regression connecting one kind of import to consumption ratio and ratio of two key deflators one of which is import deflator with deterministic regression quality. And since they both depends from real exchange rate (&M0) we get the model of most important way of influence of exchange rate and M0 (or M2) growth on GDP. We argue that current central bank policy with inflation targeting is destroying Russian economics.

Библиографическая ссылка: 

Кривошеев О.И. The influence of ruble exchange rate on Russian economics. / Тезисы 25-ой Международной конференции "Математика. Компьютер. Образование" (Дубна, 2018). М.: R&C Dynamics, 2018. С. http://www.mce.su/rus/archive/abstracts/mce25/doc312054/ .