85672

Автор(ы): 

Автор(ов): 

2

Параметры публикации

Тип публикации: 

Доклад

Название: 

Statistical Anomaly Detection Using LC-Curves: An Application to Geophysical Time Series

ISBN/ISSN: 

978-3-032-30538-1

DOI: 

10.1007/978-3-032-30539-8_30

Наименование конференции: 

  • Computational Science and Its Applications – ICCSA 2026 Workshops

Наименование источника: 

  • Proceedings of the Computational Science and Its Applications – ICCSA 2026 Workshops

Обозначение и номер тома: 

vol 16766

Город: 

  • Cham

Издательство: 

  • Springer Nature Link

Год издания: 

2026

Страницы: 

384–392
Аннотация
We adapt the Life Cycle (LC) curve methodology to the problem of statistical anomaly detection in time series. LC-curves transform a raw non-negative time series into a cumulative share profile that highlights when, within a fixed observation window, most of the signal intensity is concentrated. Deviations of this profile from the uniform-accumulation baseline serve as simple anomaly indicators that require no distributional assumptions. As an application, we apply the method to 5-min GPS displacement time series from the Nevada Geodetic Laboratory, comparing 196 earthquakes with M ≥ 6 against 104 seismically quiet intervals, and evaluate performance with Probability of Detection (POD), False Alarm Ratio (FAR), and Critical Success Index (CSI). The method achieves POD ≈ 0.82 (CSI = 0.62, FAR = 0.29) at the lowest tested threshold. Pre-event anomalies are statistically distinguishable from calm-period anomalies, demonstrating that LC-curves can effectively convert high-frequency time series into actionable anomaly indicators.

Библиографическая ссылка: 

Алескеров Ф.Т., Косычев А.М. Statistical Anomaly Detection Using LC-Curves: An Application to Geophysical Time Series / Proceedings of the Computational Science and Its Applications – ICCSA 2026 Workshops. Cham: Springer Nature Link, 2026. vol 16766. С. 384–392.