72466

Автор(ы): 

Автор(ов): 

4

Параметры публикации

Тип публикации: 

Статья в журнале/сборнике

Название: 

Quarantine and Vaccination in Hierarchical Epidemic Model

Электронная публикация: 

Да

ISBN/ISSN: 

2227-7390

DOI: 

10.3390/math11061450

Наименование источника: 

  • Mathematics

Обозначение и номер тома: 

Special Issue: Evolutionary Games, Propagation Processes and Control in Complex Systems

Город: 

  • Basel, Switzerland

Издательство: 

  • MDPI

Год издания: 

2023

Страницы: 

https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/11/6/1450
Аннотация
The analysis of global epidemics, such as SARS, MERS, and COVID-19, suggests a hierarchical structure of the epidemic process. The pandemic wave starts locally and accelerates through human-to-human interactions, eventually spreading globally after achieving an efficient and sustained transmission. In this paper, we propose a hierarchical model for the virus spread that divides the spreading process into three levels: a city, a region, and a country. We define the virus spread at each level using a modified susceptible–exposed–infected–recovery–dead (SEIRD) model, which assumes migration between levels. Our proposed controlled hierarchical epidemic model incorporates quarantine and vaccination as complementary optimal control strategies. We analyze the balance between the cost of the active virus spread and the implementation of appropriate quarantine measures. Furthermore, we differentiate the levels of the hierarchy by their contribution to the cost of controlling the epidemic. Finally, we present a series of numerical experiments to support the theoretical results obtained.

Библиографическая ссылка: 

Губар Е.А., Тайницкий В.А., Федянин Д.Н., Петров И.В. Quarantine and Vaccination in Hierarchical Epidemic Model // Mathematics. 2023. Special Issue: Evolutionary Games, Propagation Processes and Control in Complex Systems. С. https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/11/6/1450.